PDD PDD Holdings

XNGS Down Position vs. buy zone Alert

· How we analyze

About the company

PDD Holdings runs the online marketplace Pinduoduo in China, where shoppers often get lower prices by ordering together, and the international platform Temu. The group is based in Ireland; the business started in Shanghai. Traded here as a US depositary receipt. As of Oct 16, 2026

Fact sheet (from the annual report) Miscellaneous business services · Dublin 2

The internationally active commerce group PDD operates several online platforms. Its customers are third-party merchants that offer their goods through these platforms. Revenue comes from fees for completed transactions and from advertising services, for example paid placements in search results. The Pinduoduo platform, founded in 2015, offers affordable goods and lower prices for users who team up. Temu was founded in Boston in September 2022 and serves consumers in the United States, Japan and Germany, among other countries. According to the report, its main operating company is the consolidated affiliated entity Shanghai Xunmeng, which provides the platform to merchants and holds Chinese licenses for value-added telecommunications services.

Automatically summarized from SEC annual report (20-F, filed Apr 29, 2026) (website of the US Securities and Exchange Commission) · reviewed Oct 17, 2026

Price performance at a glance

Last 30 trading days
  • Today −1.2%
  • 7 days −4.0%
  • 30 days +0.7%
  • 1 year −41.7%
Day range (last trading day)
−0.9%Price at 36% of the range+1.5%
52-week range
−7.9%Price at 9% of the range+78.4%
Distance from the all-time high
−63.3%

Our own calculation from the exchange’s daily candles, as of Oct 26, 2026. “All-time” applies since the start of this series, not to the whole market. Changes in percent; the TradingView chart shows prices. “Today” = change of the last trading day versus the previous day. Not investment advice.

Where is the price relative to the buy zone?

In the buy zone

  1. Still far away
  2. Close
  3. In the buy zone
  4. Below

The price is in the pullback area after the last rise – the area our Elliott rule watches as the buy zone.

As of: Close of the 4-hour candle Oct 27, 2026, 14:30 · Buy zone in the trade plan · An observation, not investment advice

Rule (4-hour candles) Zone valid since Oct 21, 2026 · last changed on Oct 22, 2026

Watcher Full history: every change of the buy zone with its date.

Automated analysis (rule-based)

How we analyze

Timeframe 4 hours · As of Oct 27, 2026

Elliott wave analysis PDD (4-hour candles): wave 2 retracing, buy zone 61.8–78.6% of the advance, invalid below the start of wave 1. Elliott count: Nested combination, Corrective pattern (downward), Z in progress (2 of 3 guidelines). Candlestick chart PDD with 123 4-hour candles from Jul 31, 2026, 15:30 to Oct 27, 2026, 14:30. Price is in the buy zone. Rule setup: start on Oct 2, 2026, 15:30, high on Oct 13, 2026, 15:30, pullback low on Oct 22, 2026, 15:30. All values as the distance from the top of the buy zone. Buy zone (61.8 to 78.6%) 0 to −2.0% (targets and stop for this zone from Watcher), invalid on a close below the start (−4.5%). Elliott count: Nested combination, Corrective pattern (downward), Z in progress (2 of 3 guidelines) (X = 87% of W; Y = 180% of W; X = 53% of Y; Z = 36% of W–Y), invalid on a close above +7.2%. Rule setup on 4-hour candles – the rule evaluates PDD on this timeframe. Automated analysis (rule-based), not investment advice. PDD · 4-hour candles · Automated analysis (rule-based) Price is in the buy zone Start High Pullback low 61.80% (0%) 78.60% (−2.0%) invalid (−4.5%) invalid on a close above +7.2% 0 W X Y X Z in progress (a) (b) (c) −5% 0% +5% +10% +15% +20% Sep Oct last candle Oct 27, 2026, 14:30 · not investment advice Axis and values in brackets: distance from the top of the buy zone in %
  • 4-hour candles (green = close above open, red = below)
  • Rule setup (blue line start → high → pullback low)
  • Buy zone (0.618–0.786) 0 to −2.0%
  • Setup void on a close below the start (level 1 = 100%)
  • Watcher Target 1, Target 2 and stop for this zone from Watcher
  • Elliott count (thin gold line, waves in circles; dashed circle = still in progress; small = subwaves; red dashed = invalidation level)

Elliott count: Nested combination, Corrective pattern (downward), Z in progress (2 of 3 guidelines) · X = 87% of W; Y = 180% of W; X = 53% of Y; Z = 36% of W–Y

Comparison: The rule treats the last rise as the possible start of an upward impulse (without checking its history and structure). The Elliott count reads it as countermove X in a correction.

Note: Nested: leg Y is itself a combination, its X is 24.0% (at most 88.7%).

Note: Structure ambiguous: leg X, Y can also be read as three- or five-part.

Elliott count calculated automatically by fixed Elliott rules, not investment advice – display only, our buy zones do not use it. Provisional: The count can change with new candles.

How to draw it yourself
  1. Load the TradingView chart and choose the timeframe 4 hours (4-hour candles) – the buttons above the chart switch it as well.
  2. In the drawing toolbar on the left, choose the Fib Retracement tool (group with the horizontal lines).
  3. Click on the start of wave 1 (low of Oct 2, 2026 15:30) and drag to the high of Oct 13, 2026 15:30.
  4. The buy zone lies between the lines 0.618 and 0.786 (0 to −2.0%); line 1 is the start of wave 1 – if the price closes below it, the setup is void. The rule is only triggered by a candle close above the last swing high .
  5. Watcher Stop, Target 1 and Target 2 of this zone – and how to draw them – are available from Watcher.

On phones the drawing toolbar is hidden – drawing works better on a desktop.

Scenarios

Timeframe 4 hours · As of Oct 27, 2026 · from the Elliott count in the analysis chart

Weighting Main scenario (2 of 3 guidelines, medium) · no alternative

Weighting by guidelines met – not a probability.

Main scenario

medium · 2 of 3 guidelines

As long as the 4-hour close stays below the end of the second X, this applies: complex countermove downward (Nested combination), Z in progress – count points to falling prices.

Invalid if the 4-hour close is above the end of the second X (+7.2% from the top of the zone)

Alternative

If that breaks, this count no longer applies. Currently no alternative that follows the rules.

The price pulled back into the buy zone (0 to −2.0% from its top) and last closed in the zone. Rule trigger: after the touch a swing high forms, and a daily close is above it. If the price closes below the start of wave 1 (−4.5%), the setup is void. All percentages: distance from the top of the buy zone.

In the TradingView chart: Draw the buy zone in the chart with the Fibonacci tool (instructions next to the wave chart) or as two horizontal lines (tool “Horizontal Line”). If the price closes below the start of wave 1 (−4.5%), the setup is void – without an entry of the rule.

Trade plan of the rule

Exit with a gain

Buy zone – Rule trigger: candle close above the swing high

  • Buy zone (Fibonacci 61.8–78.6%) Top = reference point of the percentages 0 to −2.0%

Exit at a loss

Watcher Target 1, Target 2 and stop for this zone – with distance in percent and reward/risk – are available from Watcher. Plans and pricing Percentages from the top of the buy zone (61.8%) – not a forecast.

Rule-based, long only, 4-hour candles. Not a forecast and not investment advice. Lesson: the buy zone in 4 minutes

Save zone

With a free account: save the buy zone shown for yourself (stop and targets from Watcher). It stays visible even if the zone changes later. Log in · Sign up

Fundamental analysis

PDD Holdings · amounts in CNY

Information only – does not affect our buy zones, not investment advice. Source: SEC filings, As of Apr 29, 2026.

In short

  • Light green: Revenue grew over 5 years (+48.7% per year).
  • Light green: Net margin 22.7%.
  • Light red: Profit in 5 of 10 fiscal years.

Summarized from the lights below. Describes the reported figures – not a recommendation to buy or sell.

RevenueNet income Net margin (below) in CNY
  1. Fiscal year 2016 (Jan 1, 2016 – Dec 31, 2016): Revenue 504.9M CNY · Net income −292.0M CNY · Net margin −57.8%
  2. Fiscal year 2017 (Jan 1, 2017 – Dec 31, 2017): Revenue 1.7B CNY · Net income −525.1M CNY · Net margin −30.1%
  3. Fiscal year 2018 (Jan 1, 2018 – Dec 31, 2018): Revenue 13.1B CNY · Net income −10.2B CNY · Net margin −77.9%
  4. Fiscal year 2019 (Jan 1, 2019 – Dec 31, 2019): Revenue 30.1B CNY · Net income −7.0B CNY · Net margin −23.1%
  5. Fiscal year 2020 (Jan 1, 2020 – Dec 31, 2020): Revenue 59.5B CNY · Net income −7.2B CNY · Net margin −12.1%
  6. Fiscal year 2021 (Jan 1, 2021 – Dec 31, 2021): Revenue 93.9B CNY · Net income 7.8B CNY · Net margin 8.3%
  7. Fiscal year 2022 (Jan 1, 2022 – Dec 31, 2022): Revenue 130.6B CNY · Net income 31.5B CNY · Net margin 24.2%
  8. Fiscal year 2023 (Jan 1, 2023 – Dec 31, 2023): Revenue 247.6B CNY · Net income 60.0B CNY · Net margin 24.2%
  9. Fiscal year 2024 (Jan 1, 2024 – Dec 31, 2024): Revenue 393.8B CNY · Net income 112.4B CNY · Net margin 28.5%
  10. Fiscal year 2025 (Jan 1, 2025 – Dec 31, 2025): Revenue 431.8B CNY · Net income 97.8B CNY · Net margin 22.7%

Fiscal year 2025 (Jan 1, 2025 – Dec 31, 2025): Revenue 431.8B CNY · Net income 97.8B CNY · Net margin 22.7%

Key figures with traffic lights

Each light follows a simple, disclosed rule. This symbol has no sector assignment – lights with a sector comparison stay gray or use only the basic rule.

Revenue growth

Light green: growing

+48.7% per year, last 5 years

What does this mean? Revenue: over 5 years it grew by 48.7% per year on average. Comparable values for a sector comparison are missing.

Light rule: Green: grows at least as fast as the sector median (without a sector comparison: grows) · Yellow: grows more slowly · Red: shrinks.

Net income (total)

Light gray: not computable

– per year, last 5 years

per share: not computable (loss in the first or last year)

What does this mean? There was a loss in the first or last year. An annual growth rate cannot be calculated meaningfully then.

Light rule: Green: grows at least as fast as the sector median (without a sector comparison: grows) · Yellow: grows more slowly · Red: shrinks.

Net margin

Light green: Gain

22.7% last fiscal year

What does this mean? Of every 100 CNY in revenue, 22.66 CNY remained as profit. Comparable values for a sector comparison are missing.

Light rule: Green: at least the sector median (without a sector comparison: profit) · Yellow: profit, but below the median · Red: loss.

Debt / equity

Light gray: not available

– latest balance sheet

What does this mean? No usable figure: reported financial debt or positive equity for the same balance sheet date is missing.

Light rule: Green: at most the sector median · Yellow: up to twice the median · Red: more than twice · Gray: without a sector comparison.

Payout ratio

Light gray: none found

– Dividend / earnings per share

What does this mean? The loaded SEC filings of the last two fiscal years contain no dividend per share. Either the company pays none, or it reports it under a different tag.

Light rule: Green: up to 60% of earnings · Yellow: up to 100% · Red: more than earnings or a dividend despite a loss · Gray for real estate (REITs). The sector median is for comparison only.

Profitable years

Light red: 5 loss years

5 of 10 fiscal years with a profit

What does this mean? In 5 of the last 10 fiscal years the bottom line showed a profit. 5 years ended with a loss.

Light rule: Green: profit in every year · Yellow: one loss year · Red: several loss years (at least 3 years needed).

Last fiscal year and 13F

Information, not a trading signal · Source: SEC EDGAR
Revenue (FY)
431.8B CNY
Revenue vs. prior year
+9.7%
Net income (FY)
97.8B CNY
Net income vs. prior year
−13.0%
EPS (FY)
16.50 CNY
13F funds with a position
–
Funds vs. prior quarter
–
Shares held vs. prior quarter
–
Fiscal year to Dec 31, 2025 · 20-F filed Apr 29, 2026 · Price-based figures (P/E, P/S, dividend yield, market cap) only when logged in. · Values as first reported; debt = reported financial debt (US GAAP: long-term). 13F: reporting date Jun 30, 2026, 9 tracked funds have filed (latest Aug 14, 2026), filed with up to 45 days of delay. Stock positions only; comparison with Mar 31, 2026 only across funds that filed for both quarters.
All figures as a table
Fiscal years (amounts in CNY, per share in CNY)
YearEndRevenueNet income MarginEarnings per shareDividend per sharePayout
2025Dec 31, 2025 431.8B97.8B 22.7% 16.50 – –
2024Dec 31, 2024 393.8B112.4B 28.5% 19.00 – –
2023Dec 31, 2023 247.6B60.0B 24.2% 10.29 – –
2022Dec 31, 2022 130.6B31.5B 24.2% 5.48 – –
2021Dec 31, 2021 93.9B7.8B 8.3% 1.36 – –
2020Dec 31, 2020 59.5B−7.2B −12.1% −1.51 – –
2019Dec 31, 2019 30.1B−7.0B −23.1% −1.51 – –
2018Dec 31, 2018 13.1B−10.2B −77.9% −3.47 – –
2017Dec 31, 2017 1.7B−525.1M −30.1% −0.28 – –
2016Dec 31, 2016 504.9M−292.0M −57.8% −0.18 – –
Quarters (amounts in CNY, per share in CNY)
QuarterEndRevenueNet income MarginEarnings per shareDividend per sharePayout
Q4/20*Dec 31, 2020 26.5B−1.4B −5.2% – – –
Q4/19*Dec 31, 2019 10.8B−1.8B −16.2% – – –

* Q4 derived: fiscal year minus the 9-month value (EPS cannot be derived this way); may be distorted by restatements.

How we calculate: values as first reported to the SEC (later corrections are left out), a fixed order of reporting tags per figure, partial sums are never added up. Growth per year over 5 years (otherwise 3 years). Quarters are labeled by the calendar quarter in which they end.

Insiders

All insider transactions
Insider purchases and sales on the market over 3, 6 and 12 months
PeriodPurchasesSalesNet
3 months $00 people $140.2K1 person −$140.2K
6 months $00 people $140.2K1 person −$140.2K
12 months $00 people $348.3K2 people −$348.3K

Latest transactions

  • Sep 3, 2026 Kam Anthony Ping Leung Director Open-market sale 1,705 shares · $140.2K · SEC
  • Mar 30, 2026 Rietjens Ivonne MCM Director Open-market sale 560 shares · $55.8K · SEC
  • Mar 30, 2026 Kam Anthony Ping Leung Director Open-market sale 1,533 shares · $152.4K · SEC

Source: mandatory filings with the SEC (Form 4), open-market purchases and sales only. General information, not investment advice.

Trend score -55

Price vs. EMA 50-15
Price vs. EMA 200-15
EMA 50 vs. EMA 200-20
ADX (trend strength)+0
Highs and lows+10
Relative strength-15

Volatility and trend strength

ADX 14 (trend strength)17.7
Rel. strength 60 d−13.3%

ATR and moving averages as price values only when logged in.

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Set alert: PDD

Alerts with a free account: we send you an email as soon as the price moves above or below your level, reaches the buy zone or the buy zone becomes invalid.

Checked after every data update: crypto hourly (buy zones every 4 hours), stocks twice a day, precious metals every 4 hours on trading days, extended universe weekly – not in real time.

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