Stop and risk

Level: Beginner 5 minutes · Last reviewed on Oct 13, 2026

The is the price at which the rule’s position ends in order to limit the loss. It lies half an below the start of wave 1, is fixed with the entry and applies as soon as the daily low reaches it. How much money is at stake is set by the – not by the stop alone.

Why “provisional”?

As long as there is no signal yet, the page calculates the stop with today’s ATR. Because the ATR changes every day, this moves slightly. It is fixed with the signal candle; after that it stays until the first target.

Invalidation level and stop

Before the entry, the applies: if a candle closes below the start of wave 1, the setup is over; a wick below it does not count (). After the entry, the stop counts, and it already reacts to the candle’s low. The 78.6% level is only the bottom of the zone.

Calculating position size

Decide how much of your capital a stop may cost at most (). Divide this amount by the distance from the entry to the stop. The result is the number of shares, rounded down. Costs and can make the loss larger.

Worked example with the model stock – not a recommendation

Only a worked example with assumed numbers, not a guide to action: capital 10,000 US dollars, risk 1% = 100 US dollars. Entry on Day 35 at the open, 124.90. Stop 98.00 = 100.00 − 0.5 × ATR 4.00. Distance per share 26.90 → 100 ÷ 26.90 = 3.72, rounded down 3 shares for 374.70 US dollars. If the stop is hit, that is about 80.70 US dollars of loss plus costs.

  • Stop 98.00
  • Buy zone 110.70–119.10
  • Rule’s entry Day 35 (open)124.90
  • Targets TP1 / TP2 194.90 / 456.70

Model numbers, not real prices. Zone, targets and stop calculated with the constants of the current rule. An example for understanding, not a forecast and not investment advice. Real buy zones in the screener

Quick check

Try position size in the simulator →

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