CVNA Carvana

XNYS Down Alert

Consumer Discretionary

· How we analyze

About the company

Carvana runs an online platform for used cars in the US. Customers purchase, finance and sell cars entirely online; the vehicles are delivered or picked up at the distinctive car vending machines. Through the acquisition of the auction company ADESA, Carvana has its own reconditioning centers. As of Oct 11, 2026

Fact sheet (from the annual report) Auto dealers and gas stations · Tempe, USA

Carvana runs an online platform through which customers can purchase used cars and sell their own cars. The company sources vehicles mainly directly from customers, through auctions, including on its own digital platform, and from wholesalers. Its own centers inspect and recondition the cars, and vehicles below its standards go to wholesale. Delivery is generally handled by its own staff with car haulers to the customer’s door; in some markets customers also pick up cars at vehicle vending machines, and there is also a limited-time return option. Besides vehicle sales, the company earns revenue from financing, add-on products and cars taken in trade; it passes loans on through securitizations or to partners.

Automatically summarized from SEC annual report (10-K, filed Feb 18, 2026) (website of the US Securities and Exchange Commission) · reviewed Oct 14, 2026

Price performance at a glance

Last 30 trading days
  • Today −2.1%
  • 7 days −3.6%
  • 30 days −13.0%
  • 1 year −19.4%
Day range (last trading day)
−1.2%Price at 26% of the range+3.4%
52-week range
−3.8%Price at 5% of the range+72.0%
Distance from the all-time high
−41.9%

Our own calculation from the exchange’s daily candles, as of Oct 26, 2026. “All-time” applies since the start of this series, not to the whole market. Changes in percent; the TradingView chart shows prices. “Today” = change of the last trading day versus the previous day. Not investment advice.

Where is the price relative to the buy zone?

No buy zone

There is currently no buy zone for this symbol under our Elliott rule. One only forms when the price pulls back after a strong rise.

An observation, not investment advice

Rule (4-hour candles) No active buy zone – the last one ended on Oct 19, 2026 · Buy zone no longer valid

Watcher Full history: every change of the buy zone with its date.

Automated analysis (rule-based)

How we analyze

Timeframe 4 hours · As of Oct 27, 2026

Elliott wave analysis Carvana (4-hour candles): Flat (type known only after C), Corrective pattern (downward), C in progress (2 of 3 guidelines) (provisional count); no buy zone of the rule on this timeframe. Candlestick chart CVNA with 115 4-hour candles from Aug 6, 2026, 19:30 to Oct 27, 2026, 18:30. No buy zone of the rule on this timeframe – only the Elliott count: Flat (type known only after C), Corrective pattern (downward), C in progress (2 of 3 guidelines) (B = 107% of A; C = 185% of A), invalid on a close above the end of B. provisional count: The inner sub-waves cannot be seen on this timeframe – the hard Elliott rules are met, the internal structure remains open. Provisional – check the count yourself on the chart. No visible sub-waves in: A. Alternative: Nested combination, Corrective pattern (upward), Y complete (2 of 3 guidelines). Fibonacci target zones for this count from Watcher. No value axis. Automated analysis (rule-based), not investment advice. CVNA · 4-hour candles · Automated analysis (rule-based) No buy zone of the rule – Elliott count only Provisional count: sub-waves not visible here – check it yourself on the chart Fibonacci target zones for this count from Watcher invalid on a close above the end of B 0 A B C in progress (i) (ii) (iii) (iv) (v) Aug 11 Aug 21 Sep 2 Sep 15 Sep 25 Oct 7 Oct 19 last candle Oct 27, 2026, 18:30 · not investment advice Without a buy zone of the rule: no value axis
  • 4-hour candles (green = close above open, red = below)
  • Elliott count (thin gold line, waves in circles; dashed circle = still in progress; small = subwaves; red dashed = invalidation level)
  • Dashed throughout with a label: fallback count (provisional count) – provisional, check it yourself on the chart
  • Watcher Fibonacci target zones for this count from Watcher

Elliott count: Flat (type known only after C), Corrective pattern (downward), C in progress (2 of 3 guidelines) · B = 107% of A; C = 185% of A

provisional count The inner sub-waves cannot be seen on this timeframe – the hard Elliott rules are met, the internal structure remains open. Provisional – check the count yourself on the chart.

Alternative (not drawn): Nested combination, Corrective pattern (upward), Y complete (2 of 3 guidelines)

Note: Flat type (regular, expanded, running) can only be decided once C is complete.

Note: Structure open: leg A cannot be broken down into sub-waves on this timeframe – provisional, check the count yourself on the chart.

Elliott count calculated automatically by fixed Elliott rules, not investment advice – display only, our buy zones do not use it. Provisional: The count can change with new candles.

Scenarios

Timeframe 4 hours · As of Oct 27, 2026 · from the Elliott count in the analysis chart

Weighting Main scenario and alternative: level (2 of 3 guidelines each, medium) – the simpler or clearer pattern counts as the main scenario.

Weighting by guidelines met – not a probability.

provisional count The inner sub-waves cannot be seen on this timeframe – the hard Elliott rules are met, the internal structure remains open. Provisional – check the count yourself on the chart. No visible sub-waves in: A.

Main scenario

tied medium · 2 of 3 guidelines

As long as the 4-hour close stays below the end of B, this applies: flat countermove downward in three waves (Flat, type known only after C), C in progress – count points to falling prices.

Invalid if the 4-hour close is above the end of B

Alternative

tied medium · 2 of 3 guidelines

If that breaks, the second reading no longer applies either: complex countermove upward (Nested combination), Y complete – then there is no valid count for now; the next candles will produce a new one.

Invalid if the 4-hour close is above the end of Y

Watcher Fibonacci target zones and levels for this count – as a help for your own review – from Watcher.

Save zone

With a free account: save the buy zone shown for yourself (stop and targets from Watcher). It stays visible even if the zone changes later. Log in · Sign up

Fundamental analysis

Carvana · Sector Consumer Discretionary · amounts in USD

Information only – does not affect our buy zones, not investment advice. Source: SEC filings, As of Feb 18, 2026.

In short

  • Light green: Revenue grew over 5 years (+29.5% per year), at least as fast as the sector median.
  • Light yellow: Net margin 6.9%, below the sector median (9.4%).
  • Light yellow: Debt higher than usual in the sector.
  • Light red: Profit in 3 of 10 fiscal years.

Summarized from the lights below. Describes the reported figures – not a recommendation to buy or sell.

RevenueNet income Net margin (below) in USD
  1. Fiscal year 2016 (Jan 1, 2016 – Dec 31, 2016): Revenue 365.1M USD · Net income −93.1M USD · Net margin −25.5%
  2. Fiscal year 2017 (Jan 1, 2017 – Dec 31, 2017): Revenue 858.9M USD · Net income −62.8M USD · Net margin −7.3%
  3. Fiscal year 2018 (Jan 1, 2018 – Dec 31, 2018): Revenue 2.0B USD · Net income −61.8M USD · Net margin −3.2%
  4. Fiscal year 2019 (Jan 1, 2019 – Dec 31, 2019): Revenue 3.9B USD · Net income −114.7M USD · Net margin −2.9%
  5. Fiscal year 2020 (Jan 1, 2020 – Dec 31, 2020): Revenue 5.6B USD · Net income −171.1M USD · Net margin −3.1%
  6. Fiscal year 2021 (Jan 1, 2021 – Dec 31, 2021): Revenue 12.8B USD · Net income −135.0M USD · Net margin −1.1%
  7. Fiscal year 2022 (Jan 1, 2022 – Dec 31, 2022): Revenue 13.6B USD · Net income −1.6B USD · Net margin −11.7%
  8. Fiscal year 2023 (Jan 1, 2023 – Dec 31, 2023): Revenue 10.8B USD · Net income 450.0M USD · Net margin 4.2%
  9. Fiscal year 2024 (Jan 1, 2024 – Dec 31, 2024): Revenue 13.7B USD · Net income 210.0M USD · Net margin 1.5%
  10. Fiscal year 2025 (Jan 1, 2025 – Dec 31, 2025): Revenue 20.3B USD · Net income 1.4B USD · Net margin 6.9%

Fiscal year 2025 (Jan 1, 2025 – Dec 31, 2025): Revenue 20.3B USD · Net income 1.4B USD · Net margin 6.9%

Key figures with traffic lights

Each light follows a simple, disclosed rule. The comparison is with the sector median of all 50 symbols in the Consumer Discretionary sector on our list (current members of the S&P 500 and other lists).

Revenue growth

Light green: above sector

+29.5% per year, last 5 years

Sector Consumer Discretionary: median +11.0% (49 symbols)

What does this mean? Revenue: over 5 years it grew by 29.5% per year on average – at least as fast as the median company in the sector (+11.0%).

Light rule: Green: grows at least as fast as the sector median (without a sector comparison: grows) · Yellow: grows more slowly · Red: shrinks.

Net income (total)

Light gray: not computable

– per year, last 5 years

Sector Consumer Discretionary: median +9.7% (30 symbols)

per share: not computable (loss in the first or last year)

What does this mean? There was a loss in the first or last year. An annual growth rate cannot be calculated meaningfully then.

Light rule: Green: grows at least as fast as the sector median (without a sector comparison: grows) · Yellow: grows more slowly · Red: shrinks.

Net margin

Light yellow: below sector

6.9% last fiscal year

Sector Consumer Discretionary: median 9.4% (49 symbols)

What does this mean? Of every 100 USD in revenue, 6.92 USD remained as profit – less than the median company in the sector (9.4%). Five years ago the margin was −3.1%.

Light rule: Green: at least the sector median (without a sector comparison: profit) · Yellow: profit, but below the median · Red: loss.

Debt / equity

Light yellow: higher than sector

1.21 latest balance sheet

Sector Consumer Discretionary: median 0.76 (25 symbols)

What does this mean? For every 1 USD of equity there is 1.21 USD of financial debt – more than the median company in the sector (0.76). More debt amplifies good and bad years alike.

Light rule: Green: at most the sector median · Yellow: up to twice the median · Red: more than twice · Gray: without a sector comparison.

Payout ratio

Light gray: none found

– Dividend / earnings per share

Sector Consumer Discretionary: median 32% (26 symbols)

What does this mean? The loaded SEC filings of the last two fiscal years contain no dividend per share. Either the company pays none, or it reports it under a different tag.

Light rule: Green: up to 60% of earnings · Yellow: up to 100% · Red: more than earnings or a dividend despite a loss · Gray for real estate (REITs). The sector median is for comparison only.

Profitable years

Light red: 7 loss years

3 of 10 fiscal years with a profit

What does this mean? In 3 of the last 10 fiscal years the bottom line showed a profit. 7 years ended with a loss.

Light rule: Green: profit in every year · Yellow: one loss year · Red: several loss years (at least 3 years needed).

Last fiscal year and 13F

Information, not a trading signal · Source: SEC EDGAR
Revenue (FY)
20.3B USD
Revenue vs. prior year
+48.6%
Net income (FY)
1.4B USD
Net income vs. prior year
+570.0%
EPS (FY)
8.45 USD
13F funds with a position
2 of 9
Funds vs. prior quarter
±0
Shares held vs. prior quarter
+282.8%
Fiscal year to Dec 31, 2025 · 10-K filed Feb 18, 2026 · Balance sheet Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 29, 2026) · Price-based figures (P/E, P/S, dividend yield, market cap) only when logged in. · Values as first reported; debt = reported financial debt (US GAAP: long-term). 13F: reporting date Jun 30, 2026, 9 tracked funds have filed (latest Aug 14, 2026), filed with up to 45 days of delay. Stock positions only; comparison with Mar 31, 2026 only across funds that filed for both quarters.
All figures as a table
Fiscal years (amounts in USD, per share in USD)
YearEndRevenueNet income MarginEarnings per shareDividend per sharePayout
2025Dec 31, 2025 20.3B1.4B 6.9% 8.45 – –
2024Dec 31, 2024 13.7B210.0M 1.5% 1.59 – –
2023Dec 31, 2023 10.8B450.0M 4.2% 0.75 – –
2022Dec 31, 2022 13.6B−1.6B −11.7% −15.74 – –
2021Dec 31, 2021 12.8B−135.0M −1.1% −1.63 – –
2020Dec 31, 2020 5.6B−171.1M −3.1% −2.63 – –
2019Dec 31, 2019 3.9B−114.7M −2.9% −2.45 – –
2018Dec 31, 2018 2.0B−61.8M −3.2% – – –
2017Dec 31, 2017 858.9M−62.8M −7.3% – – –
2016Dec 31, 2016 365.1M−93.1M −25.5% – – –
Quarters (amounts in USD, per share in USD)
QuarterEndRevenueNet income MarginEarnings per shareDividend per sharePayout
Q2/26Jun 30, 2026 7.4B310.0M 4.2% – – –
Q1/26Mar 31, 2026 6.4B250.0M 3.9% – – –
Q4/25*Dec 31, 2025 5.6B857.0M 15.3% – – –
Q3/25Sep 30, 2025 5.6B151.0M 2.7% – – –
Q2/25Jun 30, 2025 4.8B183.0M 3.8% – – –
Q1/25Mar 31, 2025 4.2B216.0M 5.1% – – –
Q4/24*Dec 31, 2024 3.5B79.0M 2.2% – – –
Q3/24Sep 30, 2024 3.7B85.0M 2.3% – – –
Q2/24Jun 30, 2024 3.4B18.0M 0.5% – – –
Q1/24Mar 31, 2024 3.1B28.0M 0.9% 0.24 – –
Q4/23*Dec 31, 2023 2.4B−114.0M −4.7% – – –
Q3/23Sep 30, 2023 2.8B782.0M 28.2% 7.05 – –

* Q4 derived: fiscal year minus the 9-month value (EPS cannot be derived this way); may be distorted by restatements.

How we calculate: values as first reported to the SEC (later corrections are left out), a fixed order of reporting tags per figure, partial sums are never added up. Growth per year over 5 years (otherwise 3 years). Quarters are labeled by the calendar quarter in which they end.

Insiders

All insider transactions
Insider purchases and sales on the market over 3, 6 and 12 months
PeriodPurchasesSalesNet
3 months $1.5M1 person $25.3M6 people −$23.7M
6 months $1.5M1 person $53.8M6 people −$52.2M
12 months $1.5M1 person $273.6M11 people −$272.0M

Latest transactions

  • Oct 12, 2026 Taira Thomas Officer Open-market sale · 10b5-1 plan 5,597 shares · $363.8K · SEC
  • Oct 1, 2026 Palmer Stephen R Officer Open-market sale · 10b5-1 plan 2,320 shares · $145.7K · SEC
  • Oct 1, 2026 Palmer Stephen R Officer Open-market sale · 10b5-1 plan 920 shares · $56.7K · SEC
  • Oct 1, 2026 Palmer Stephen R Officer Open-market sale · 10b5-1 plan 840 shares · $51.0K · SEC
  • Oct 1, 2026 Palmer Stephen R Officer Open-market sale · 10b5-1 plan 920 shares · $54.7K · SEC
  • Oct 1, 2026 Jenkins Mark W. Chief financial officer (CFO) Open-market sale · 10b5-1 plan 5,869 shares · $370.0K · SEC

Source: mandatory filings with the SEC (Form 4), open-market purchases and sales only. General information, not investment advice.

Trend score -85

Price vs. EMA 50-15
Price vs. EMA 200-15
EMA 50 vs. EMA 200-20
ADX (trend strength)+0
Highs and lows-20
Relative strength-15

Volatility and trend strength

ADX 14 (trend strength)24.3
Rel. strength 60 d−11.4%

ATR and moving averages as price values only when logged in.

More stocks from Consumer Discretionary

All symbols in this sector

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