CMI Cummins

XNYS Down Position vs. buy zone Alert

Industrials

· How we analyze

About the company

Cummins is a major maker of diesel and gas engines from Indiana. The engines power trucks, buses and construction and farm machinery; it also makes generator sets, emission controls, drivetrain components and spare parts as well as hydrogen and electric drive technology. As of Oct 11, 2026

Fact sheet (from the annual report) Engines and turbines · Columbus, USA

Cummins designs and manufactures diesel, electric and hybrid powertrains, power generation systems and components such as aftertreatment and turbochargers. The Engine segment builds diesel, natural gas and gasoline engines for heavy- and medium-duty trucks, buses, light vehicles and off-highway machinery. The Components segment supplies axles, brakes, transmissions, fuel systems and electronics, among other things. The Distribution segment is the main channel for sales, service and customer support, with company-owned, jointly operated and independent locations worldwide. The Accelera segment develops electrified powertrains with battery technology and is still at the beginning of commercialization. Customers are original equipment manufacturers, distributors and dealers, with supply agreements including PACCAR, Traton and Daimler.

Automatically summarized from SEC annual report (10-K, filed Feb 10, 2026) (website of the US Securities and Exchange Commission) · reviewed Oct 14, 2026

Price performance at a glance

Last 30 trading days
  • Today +0.9%
  • 7 days 0.0%
  • 30 days −0.6%
  • 1 year +23.9%
Day range (last trading day)
−1.0%Price at 50% of the range+1.0%
52-week range
−20.7%Price at 33% of the range+41.3%
Distance from the all-time high
−29.2%

Our own calculation from the exchange’s daily candles, as of Oct 26, 2026. “All-time” applies since the start of this series, not to the whole market. Changes in percent; the TradingView chart shows prices. “Today” = change of the last trading day versus the previous day. Not investment advice.

Where is the price relative to the buy zone?

Was in the buy zone

  1. Still far away
  2. Close
  3. In the buy zone
  4. Below

The price was in the buy zone and is now back just above it.

As of: Close of the 4-hour candle Oct 27, 2026, 18:30 · Buy zone in the trade plan · An observation, not investment advice

Rule (4-hour candles) Zone valid since Oct 22, 2026 · last changed on Oct 23, 2026

Watcher Full history: every change of the buy zone with its date.

Automated analysis (rule-based)

How we analyze

Timeframe 4 hours · As of Oct 27, 2026

Elliott wave analysis Cummins (4-hour candles): wave 2 retracing, buy zone 61.8–78.6% of the advance, invalid below the start of wave 1. Elliott count: Zigzag (A-B-C), Corrective pattern (downward), C complete (2 of 2 guidelines) (provisional count). Candlestick chart CMI with 204 4-hour candles from Jun 3, 2026, 15:30 to Oct 27, 2026, 18:30. Price was in the buy zone, now back above it. Rule setup: start on Oct 1, 2026, 19:30, high on Oct 21, 2026, 19:30, pullback low on Oct 23, 2026, 15:30. All values as the distance from the top of the buy zone. Buy zone (61.8 to 78.6%) 0 to −1.3% (targets and stop for this zone from Watcher), invalid on a close below the start (−3.0%). Elliott count: Zigzag (A-B-C), Corrective pattern (downward), C complete (2 of 2 guidelines) (B = 52% of A; C = 96% of A), invalid on a close below −3.0%. provisional count: The inner sub-waves cannot be seen on this timeframe – the hard Elliott rules are met, the internal structure remains open. Provisional – check the count yourself on the chart. No visible sub-waves in: B. Rule setup on 4-hour candles – the rule evaluates CMI on this timeframe. Automated analysis (rule-based), not investment advice. CMI · 4-hour candles · Automated analysis (rule-based) Price was in the buy zone, now back above it Provisional count: sub-waves not visible here – check it yourself on the chart Start High Pullback low 61.80% (0%) 78.60% (−1.3%) invalid (−3.0%) invalid on a close below −3.0% 0 A B C complete 0% +10% +20% +30% +40% Jul Aug Sep Oct last candle Oct 27, 2026, 18:30 · not investment advice Axis and values in brackets: distance from the top of the buy zone in %
  • 4-hour candles (green = close above open, red = below)
  • Rule setup (blue line start → high → pullback low)
  • Buy zone (0.618–0.786) 0 to −1.3%
  • Setup void on a close below the start (level 1 = 100%)
  • Watcher Target 1, Target 2 and stop for this zone from Watcher
  • Elliott count (thin gold line, waves in circles; dashed circle = still in progress; small = subwaves; red dashed = invalidation level)
  • Dashed throughout with a label: fallback count (provisional count) – provisional, check it yourself on the chart

Elliott count: Zigzag (A-B-C), Corrective pattern (downward), C complete (2 of 2 guidelines) · B = 52% of A; C = 96% of A

provisional count The inner sub-waves cannot be seen on this timeframe – the hard Elliott rules are met, the internal structure remains open. Provisional – check the count yourself on the chart.

Note: C is an ending diagonal.

Note: Structure ambiguous: leg A can also be read as three- or five-part.

Note: Structure open: leg B cannot be broken down into sub-waves on this timeframe – provisional, check the count yourself on the chart.

Elliott count calculated automatically by fixed Elliott rules, not investment advice – display only, our buy zones do not use it. Provisional: The count can change with new candles.

How to draw it yourself
  1. Load the TradingView chart and choose the timeframe 4 hours (4-hour candles) – the buttons above the chart switch it as well.
  2. In the drawing toolbar on the left, choose the Fib Retracement tool (group with the horizontal lines).
  3. Click on the start of wave 1 (low of Oct 1, 2026 19:30) and drag to the high of Oct 21, 2026 19:30.
  4. The buy zone lies between the lines 0.618 and 0.786 (0 to −1.3%); line 1 is the start of wave 1 – if the price closes below it, the setup is void. The rule is only triggered by a candle close above the last swing high .
  5. Watcher Stop, Target 1 and Target 2 of this zone – and how to draw them – are available from Watcher.

On phones the drawing toolbar is hidden – drawing works better on a desktop.

Scenarios

Timeframe 4 hours · As of Oct 27, 2026 · from the Elliott count in the analysis chart

Weighting Main scenario (2 of 2 guidelines, strong) · no alternative

Weighting by guidelines met – not a probability.

provisional count The inner sub-waves cannot be seen on this timeframe – the hard Elliott rules are met, the internal structure remains open. Provisional – check the count yourself on the chart. No visible sub-waves in: B.

Main scenario

strong · 2 of 2 guidelines

As long as the 4-hour close stays above the end of C, this applies: sharp countermove downward in three waves (Zigzag A-B-C), C complete – count points to rising prices.

Invalid if the 4-hour close is below the end of C (−3.0% from the top of the zone)

Alternative

If that breaks, this count no longer applies. Currently no alternative that follows the rules.

The price reached the buy zone (0 to −1.3% from its top) and last closed back above it. Rule trigger: after the touch a swing high forms, and a daily close is above it. If the price closes below the start of wave 1 (−3.0%), the setup is void. All percentages: distance from the top of the buy zone.

In the TradingView chart: Draw the buy zone in the chart with the Fibonacci tool (instructions next to the wave chart) or as two horizontal lines (tool “Horizontal Line”). If the price closes below the start of wave 1 (−3.0%), the setup is void – without an entry of the rule.

Trade plan of the rule

Exit with a gain

Buy zone – Rule trigger: candle close above the swing high

  • Buy zone (Fibonacci 61.8–78.6%) Top = reference point of the percentages 0 to −1.3%

Exit at a loss

Watcher Target 1, Target 2 and stop for this zone – with distance in percent and reward/risk – are available from Watcher. Plans and pricing Percentages from the top of the buy zone (61.8%) – not a forecast.

Rule-based, long only, 4-hour candles. Not a forecast and not investment advice. Lesson: the buy zone in 4 minutes

Save zone

With a free account: save the buy zone shown for yourself (stop and targets from Watcher). It stays visible even if the zone changes later. Log in · Sign up

Fundamental analysis

Cummins · Sector Industrials · amounts in USD

Information only – does not affect our buy zones, not investment advice. Source: SEC filings, As of Feb 10, 2026.

In short

  • Light green: Revenue grew over 5 years (+11.2% per year), at least as fast as the sector median.
  • Light green: Net income (total) grew over 5 years (+10.3% per year), at least as fast as the sector median; per share +11.3% per year.
  • Light yellow: Net margin 8.8%, below the sector median (11.1%).
  • Light green: Profit in each of the last 10 fiscal years.

Summarized from the lights below. Describes the reported figures – not a recommendation to buy or sell.

RevenueNet income Net margin (below) in USD
  1. Fiscal year 2016 (Jan 1, 2016 – Dec 31, 2016): Revenue 17.5B USD · Net income 1.5B USD · Net margin 8.3%
  2. Fiscal year 2017 (Jan 1, 2017 – Dec 31, 2017): Revenue 20.4B USD · Net income 994.0M USD · Net margin 4.9%
  3. Fiscal year 2018 (Jan 1, 2018 – Dec 31, 2018): Revenue 23.8B USD · Net income 2.2B USD · Net margin 9.2%
  4. Fiscal year 2019 (Jan 1, 2019 – Dec 31, 2019): Revenue 23.6B USD · Net income 2.3B USD · Net margin 9.6%
  5. Fiscal year 2020 (Jan 1, 2020 – Dec 31, 2020): Revenue 19.8B USD · Net income 1.8B USD · Net margin 9.1%
  6. Fiscal year 2021 (Jan 1, 2021 – Dec 31, 2021): Revenue 24.0B USD · Net income 2.2B USD · Net margin 9.0%
  7. Fiscal year 2022 (Jan 1, 2022 – Dec 31, 2022): Revenue 28.1B USD · Net income 2.2B USD · Net margin 7.8%
  8. Fiscal year 2023 (Jan 1, 2023 – Dec 31, 2023): Revenue 34.1B USD · Net income 840.0M USD · Net margin 2.5%
  9. Fiscal year 2024 (Jan 1, 2024 – Dec 31, 2024): Revenue 34.1B USD · Net income 4.1B USD · Net margin 11.9%
  10. Fiscal year 2025 (Jan 1, 2025 – Dec 31, 2025): Revenue 33.7B USD · Net income 3.0B USD · Net margin 8.8%

Fiscal year 2025 (Jan 1, 2025 – Dec 31, 2025): Revenue 33.7B USD · Net income 3.0B USD · Net margin 8.8%

Key figures with traffic lights

Each light follows a simple, disclosed rule. The comparison is with the sector median of all 90 symbols in the Industrials sector on our list (current members of the S&P 500 and other lists).

Revenue growth

Light green: above sector

+11.2% per year, last 5 years

Sector Industrials: median +8.0% (81 symbols)

What does this mean? Revenue: over 5 years it grew by 11.2% per year on average – at least as fast as the median company in the sector (+8.0%).

Light rule: Green: grows at least as fast as the sector median (without a sector comparison: grows) · Yellow: grows more slowly · Red: shrinks.

Net income (total)

Light green: above sector

+10.3% per year, last 5 years

Sector Industrials: median +10.0% (66 symbols)

per share: +11.3% per year (5 years, split-adjusted)

What does this mean? Total net income: over 5 years it grew by 10.3% per year on average – at least as fast as the median company in the sector (+10.0%).

Light rule: Green: grows at least as fast as the sector median (without a sector comparison: grows) · Yellow: grows more slowly · Red: shrinks.

Net margin

Light yellow: below sector

8.8% last fiscal year

Sector Industrials: median 11.1% (88 symbols)

What does this mean? Of every 100 USD in revenue, 8.78 USD remained as profit – less than the median company in the sector (11.1%). Five years ago the margin was 9.1%.

Light rule: Green: at least the sector median (without a sector comparison: profit) · Yellow: profit, but below the median · Red: loss.

Debt / equity

Light gray: not available

– latest balance sheet

Sector Industrials: median 0.59 (67 symbols)

What does this mean? No usable figure: reported financial debt or positive equity for the same balance sheet date is missing.

Light rule: Green: at most the sector median · Yellow: up to twice the median · Red: more than twice · Gray: without a sector comparison.

Payout ratio

Light green: covered

37% Dividend / earnings per share

Sector Industrials: median 35% (65 symbols)

What does this mean? Of every 1 USD of earnings per share, 0.37 USD went to shareholders as a dividend. The rest stays in the company. Median company in the sector: 35%.

Light rule: Green: up to 60% of earnings · Yellow: up to 100% · Red: more than earnings or a dividend despite a loss · Gray for real estate (REITs). The sector median is for comparison only.

Profitable years

Light green: profit every year

10 of 10 fiscal years with a profit

What does this mean? In 10 of the last 10 fiscal years the bottom line showed a profit. There were no losses in this period.

Light rule: Green: profit in every year · Yellow: one loss year · Red: several loss years (at least 3 years needed).

Last fiscal year and 13F

Information, not a trading signal · Source: SEC EDGAR
Revenue (FY)
33.7B USD
Revenue vs. prior year
−1.3%
Net income (FY)
3.0B USD
Net income vs. prior year
−27.3%
EPS (FY)
20.50 USD
13F funds with a position
0 of 9
Funds vs. prior quarter
−2
Shares held vs. prior quarter
−100.0%
Fiscal year to Dec 31, 2025 · 10-K filed Feb 10, 2026 · Price-based figures (P/E, P/S, dividend yield, market cap) only when logged in. · Values as first reported; debt = reported financial debt (US GAAP: long-term). 13F: reporting date Jun 30, 2026, 9 tracked funds have filed (latest Aug 14, 2026), filed with up to 45 days of delay. Stock positions only; comparison with Mar 31, 2026 only across funds that filed for both quarters.
All figures as a table
Fiscal years (amounts in USD, per share in USD)
YearEndRevenueNet income MarginEarnings per shareDividend per sharePayout
2025Dec 31, 2025 33.7B3.0B 8.8% 20.50 7.64 37%
2024Dec 31, 2024 34.1B4.1B 11.9% 28.37 7.00 25%
2023Dec 31, 2023 34.1B840.0M 2.5% 5.15 6.50 126%
2022Dec 31, 2022 28.1B2.2B 7.8% 15.12 6.04 40%
2021Dec 31, 2021 24.0B2.2B 9.0% 14.61 5.60 38%
2020Dec 31, 2020 19.8B1.8B 9.1% 12.01 5.28 44%
2019Dec 31, 2019 23.6B2.3B 9.6% 14.48 4.90 34%
2018Dec 31, 2018 23.8B2.2B 9.2% 13.15 4.44 34%
2017Dec 31, 2017 20.4B994.0M 4.9% 5.97 4.21 71%
2016Dec 31, 2016 17.5B1.5B 8.3% 8.23 – –
Quarters (amounts in USD, per share in USD)
QuarterEndRevenueNet income MarginEarnings per shareDividend per sharePayout
Q2/26Jun 30, 2026 9.5B968.0M 10.2% 6.73 2.00 30%
Q1/26Mar 31, 2026 8.4B680.0M 8.1% 4.71 2.00 42%
Q4/25*Dec 31, 2025 8.5B620.0M 7.3% – 2.00 –
Q3/25Sep 30, 2025 8.3B559.0M 6.7% 3.86 2.00 52%
Q2/25Jun 30, 2025 8.6B928.0M 10.7% 6.43 1.82 28%
Q1/25Mar 31, 2025 8.2B850.0M 10.4% 5.96 1.82 31%
Q4/24*Dec 31, 2024 8.4B445.0M 5.3% – 1.82 –
Q3/24Sep 30, 2024 8.5B843.0M 10.0% 5.86 1.82 31%
Q2/24Jun 30, 2024 8.8B752.0M 8.5% 5.26 1.68 32%
Q1/24Mar 31, 2024 8.4B2.0B 24.1% 14.03 1.68 12%
Q4/23*Dec 31, 2023 8.5B−1.4B −16.3% – 1.68 –
Q3/23Sep 30, 2023 8.4B690.0M 8.2% 4.59 1.68 37%

* Q4 derived: fiscal year minus the 9-month value (EPS cannot be derived this way); may be distorted by restatements.

How we calculate: values as first reported to the SEC (later corrections are left out), a fixed order of reporting tags per figure, partial sums are never added up. Growth per year over 5 years (otherwise 3 years). Quarters are labeled by the calendar quarter in which they end.

Insiders

All insider transactions
Insider purchases and sales on the market over 3, 6 and 12 months
PeriodPurchasesSalesNet
3 months $00 people $399.4K1 person −$399.4K
6 months $00 people $10.2M8 people −$10.2M
12 months $00 people $37.8M12 people −$37.8M

Latest transactions

  • Aug 24, 2026 Newsome Earl Officer Open-market sale 698 shares · $399.4K · SEC
  • May 14, 2026 Jackson Donald G Officer Open-market sale 480 shares · $341.0K · SEC
  • May 14, 2026 Jackson Donald G Officer Open-market sale 160 shares · $113.9K · SEC
  • May 14, 2026 Jackson Donald G Officer Open-market sale 90 shares · $64.1K · SEC
  • May 12, 2026 Bush Jennifer Mary Officer Open-market sale 1,799 shares · $1.3M · SEC
  • May 12, 2026 Bush Jennifer Mary Officer Open-market sale 1,158 shares · $805.1K · SEC

Source: mandatory filings with the SEC (Form 4), open-market purchases and sales only. General information, not investment advice.

Trend score -70

Price vs. EMA 50-15
Price vs. EMA 200-15
EMA 50 vs. EMA 200-20
ADX (trend strength)-15
Highs and lows+10
Relative strength-15

Volatility and trend strength

ADX 14 (trend strength)39.4
Rel. strength 60 d−19.6%

ATR and moving averages as price values only when logged in.

More stocks from Industrials

All symbols in this sector

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Set alert: CMI

Alerts with a free account: we send you an email as soon as the price moves above or below your level, reaches the buy zone or the buy zone becomes invalid.

Checked after every data update: crypto hourly (buy zones every 4 hours), stocks twice a day, precious metals every 4 hours on trading days, extended universe weekly – not in real time.

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