IBM IBM

XNYS Sideways Alert

Technology

· How we analyze

About the company

IBM is a long-established US technology company. Today it focuses on software (such as Red Hat), hybrid cloud, AI solutions and IT consulting. It also makes Z-series mainframes and does research on quantum computers, mainly for large companies and government agencies. As of Oct 11, 2026

Fact sheet (from the annual report) Computers and office equipment · Armonk, USA

IBM helps clients digitize their operations with hybrid cloud platforms and artificial intelligence. The Software segment comprises platforms for hybrid cloud and artificial intelligence with which clients carry out their digital transformation across applications and data. The Consulting division combines strategy, design, technology and operations expertise, for example for systems integration and application development. In the Infrastructure segment, the company supplies server and storage solutions for on-premises data centers and the cloud, including life-cycle services. The financing division finances clients’ purchases of hardware, software and services. Its partners include hyperscalers, service providers, system integrators and software and hardware vendors.

Automatically summarized from SEC annual report (10-K, filed Feb 24, 2026) (website of the US Securities and Exchange Commission) · reviewed Oct 14, 2026

Price performance at a glance

Last 30 trading days
  • Today −1.3%
  • 7 days +3.4%
  • 30 days +11.0%
  • 1 year −20.1%
Day range (last trading day)
−0.4%Price at 27% of the range+1.2%
52-week range
−20.4%Price at 38% of the range+32.9%
Distance from the all-time high
−24.7%

Our own calculation from the exchange’s daily candles, as of Oct 27, 2026. “All-time” applies since the start of this series, not to the whole market. Changes in percent; the TradingView chart shows prices. “Today” = change of the last trading day versus the previous day. Not investment advice.

Where is the price relative to the buy zone?

No buy zone

There is currently no buy zone for this symbol under our Elliott rule. One only forms when the price pulls back after a strong rise.

An observation, not investment advice

Rule (4-hour candles) No active buy zone – the last one ended on Oct 16, 2026 · Buy zone no longer valid

Watcher Full history: every change of the buy zone with its date.

Automated analysis (rule-based)

How we analyze

Timeframe 4 hours · As of Oct 27, 2026

Elliott wave analysis IBM (4-hour candles): Combination (W-X-Y), Corrective pattern (upward), Y in progress (3 of 3 guidelines); no buy zone of the rule on this timeframe. Candlestick chart IBM with 152 4-hour candles from Jul 13, 2026, 15:30 to Oct 27, 2026, 18:30. No buy zone of the rule on this timeframe – only the Elliott count: Combination (W-X-Y), Corrective pattern (upward), Y in progress (3 of 3 guidelines) (X = 65% of W; Y = 73% of W), invalid on a close below the end of X. Fibonacci target zones for this count from Watcher. No value axis. Automated analysis (rule-based), not investment advice. IBM · 4-hour candles · Automated analysis (rule-based) No buy zone of the rule – Elliott count only Fibonacci target zones for this count from Watcher invalid on a close below the end of X 0 W X Y in progress (a) (b) (c) Aug Sep Oct last candle Oct 27, 2026, 18:30 · not investment advice Without a buy zone of the rule: no value axis
  • 4-hour candles (green = close above open, red = below)
  • Elliott count (thin gold line, waves in circles; dashed circle = still in progress; small = subwaves; red dashed = invalidation level)
  • Watcher Fibonacci target zones for this count from Watcher

Elliott count: Combination (W-X-Y), Corrective pattern (upward), Y in progress (3 of 3 guidelines) · X = 65% of W; Y = 73% of W

Note: Structure ambiguous: leg X can also be read as three- or five-part.

Note: Retracement at least 88.7% of A: flat possible (B in progress, type only with C).

Elliott count calculated automatically by fixed Elliott rules, not investment advice – display only, our buy zones do not use it. Provisional: The count can change with new candles.

Scenarios

Timeframe 4 hours · As of Oct 27, 2026 · from the Elliott count in the analysis chart

Weighting Main scenario (3 of 3 guidelines, strong) · no alternative

Weighting by guidelines met – not a probability.

Main scenario

strong · 3 of 3 guidelines

As long as the 4-hour close stays above the end of X, this applies: complex countermove upward (Combination W-X-Y), Y in progress – count points to rising prices.

Invalid if the 4-hour close is below the end of X

Alternative

If that breaks, this count no longer applies. Currently no alternative that follows the rules.

Watcher Fibonacci target zones and levels for this count – as a help for your own review – from Watcher.

Fundamental analysis

IBM · Sector Technology · amounts in USD

Information only – does not affect our buy zones, not investment advice. Source: SEC filings, As of Feb 24, 2026.

In short

  • Light red: Revenue shrank over 5 years (−1.7% per year).
  • Light green: Net income (total) grew over 5 years (+13.6% per year), at least as fast as the sector median; per share +12.4% per year.
  • Light green: Net margin 15.7%, above the sector median (12.5%).
  • Light red: Debt much higher than usual in the sector.
  • Light green: Profit in each of the last 10 fiscal years.
  • Light yellow: High payout ratio (60% of earnings).

Summarized from the lights below. Describes the reported figures – not a recommendation to buy or sell.

RevenueNet income Net margin (below) in USD
  1. Fiscal year 2016 (Jan 1, 2016 – Dec 31, 2016): Revenue 79.9B USD · Net income 11.9B USD · Net margin 14.9%
  2. Fiscal year 2017 (Jan 1, 2017 – Dec 31, 2017): Revenue 79.1B USD · Net income 5.8B USD · Net margin 7.3%
  3. Fiscal year 2018 (Jan 1, 2018 – Dec 31, 2018): Revenue 79.6B USD · Net income 8.7B USD · Net margin 11.0%
  4. Fiscal year 2019 (Jan 1, 2019 – Dec 31, 2019): Revenue 77.1B USD · Net income 9.4B USD · Net margin 12.2%
  5. Fiscal year 2020 (Jan 1, 2020 – Dec 31, 2020): Revenue 73.6B USD · Net income 5.6B USD · Net margin 7.6%
  6. Fiscal year 2021 (Jan 1, 2021 – Dec 31, 2021): Revenue 57.4B USD · Net income 5.7B USD · Net margin 10.0%
  7. Fiscal year 2022 (Jan 1, 2022 – Dec 31, 2022): Revenue 60.5B USD · Net income 1.6B USD · Net margin 2.7%
  8. Fiscal year 2023 (Jan 1, 2023 – Dec 31, 2023): Revenue 61.9B USD · Net income 7.5B USD · Net margin 12.1%
  9. Fiscal year 2024 (Jan 1, 2024 – Dec 31, 2024): Revenue 62.8B USD · Net income 6.0B USD · Net margin 9.6%
  10. Fiscal year 2025 (Jan 1, 2025 – Dec 31, 2025): Revenue 67.5B USD · Net income 10.6B USD · Net margin 15.7%

Fiscal year 2025 (Jan 1, 2025 – Dec 31, 2025): Revenue 67.5B USD · Net income 10.6B USD · Net margin 15.7%

Key figures with traffic lights

Each light follows a simple, disclosed rule. The comparison is with the sector median of all 97 symbols in the Technology sector on our list (current members of the S&P 500 and other lists).

Revenue growth

Light red: shrinking

−1.7% per year, last 5 years

Sector Technology: median +13.5% (88 symbols)

What does this mean? Revenue: over 5 years it fell by 1.7% per year on average. The median company in the sector reached +13.5% per year.

Light rule: Green: grows at least as fast as the sector median (without a sector comparison: grows) · Yellow: grows more slowly · Red: shrinks.

Net income (total)

Light green: above sector

+13.6% per year, last 5 years

Sector Technology: median +13.3% (62 symbols)

per share: +12.4% per year (5 years, split-adjusted)

What does this mean? Total net income: over 5 years it grew by 13.6% per year on average – at least as fast as the median company in the sector (+13.3%).

Light rule: Green: grows at least as fast as the sector median (without a sector comparison: grows) · Yellow: grows more slowly · Red: shrinks.

Net margin

Light green: above sector

15.7% last fiscal year

Sector Technology: median 12.5% (97 symbols)

What does this mean? Of every 100 USD in revenue, 15.69 USD remained as profit – at least as much as the median company in the sector (12.5%). Five years ago the margin was 7.6%.

Light rule: Green: at least the sector median (without a sector comparison: profit) · Yellow: profit, but below the median · Red: loss.

Debt / equity

Light red: much higher

1.60 latest balance sheet

Sector Technology: median 0.46 (65 symbols)

What does this mean? For every 1 USD of equity there is 1.60 USD of financial debt – more than twice as much as the median company in the sector (0.46). More debt amplifies good and bad years alike.

Light rule: Green: at most the sector median · Yellow: up to twice the median · Red: more than twice · Gray: without a sector comparison.

Payout ratio

Light yellow: high

60% Dividend / earnings per share

Sector Technology: median 30% (36 symbols)

What does this mean? Of every 1 USD of earnings per share, 0.60 USD went to shareholders as a dividend. Little buffer remains for weaker years. Median company in the sector: 30%.

Light rule: Green: up to 60% of earnings · Yellow: up to 100% · Red: more than earnings or a dividend despite a loss · Gray for real estate (REITs). The sector median is for comparison only.

Profitable years

Light green: profit every year

10 of 10 fiscal years with a profit

What does this mean? In 10 of the last 10 fiscal years the bottom line showed a profit. There were no losses in this period.

Light rule: Green: profit in every year · Yellow: one loss year · Red: several loss years (at least 3 years needed).

Last fiscal year and 13F

Information, not a trading signal · Source: SEC EDGAR
Revenue (FY)
67.5B USD
Revenue vs. prior year
+7.6%
Net income (FY)
10.6B USD
Net income vs. prior year
+75.9%
EPS (FY)
11.17 USD
13F funds with a position
1 of 9
Funds vs. prior quarter
+1
Shares held vs. prior quarter
–
Fiscal year to Dec 31, 2025 · 10-K filed Feb 24, 2026 · Balance sheet Sep 30, 2026 (filed Oct 22, 2026) · Price-based figures (P/E, P/S, dividend yield, market cap) only when logged in. · Values as first reported; debt = reported financial debt (US GAAP: long-term). 13F: reporting date Jun 30, 2026, 9 tracked funds have filed (latest Aug 14, 2026), filed with up to 45 days of delay. Stock positions only; comparison with Mar 31, 2026 only across funds that filed for both quarters.
All figures as a table
Fiscal years (amounts in USD, per share in USD)
YearEndRevenueNet income MarginEarnings per shareDividend per sharePayout
2025Dec 31, 2025 67.5B10.6B 15.7% 11.17 6.71 60%
2024Dec 31, 2024 62.8B6.0B 9.6% 6.43 6.67 104%
2023Dec 31, 2023 61.9B7.5B 12.1% 8.14 6.63 81%
2022Dec 31, 2022 60.5B1.6B 2.7% 1.80 6.59 366%
2021Dec 31, 2021 57.4B5.7B 10.0% 6.35 6.55 103%
2020Dec 31, 2020 73.6B5.6B 7.6% 6.23 6.51 104%
2019Dec 31, 2019 77.1B9.4B 12.2% 10.56 6.43 61%
2018Dec 31, 2018 79.6B8.7B 11.0% 9.52 6.21 65%
2017Dec 31, 2017 79.1B5.8B 7.3% 6.14 5.90 96%
2016Dec 31, 2016 79.9B11.9B 14.9% 12.38 5.50 44%
Quarters (amounts in USD, per share in USD)
QuarterEndRevenueNet income MarginEarnings per shareDividend per sharePayout
Q3/26Sep 30, 2026 17.1B2.2B 12.8% 2.30 1.69 73%
Q2/26Jun 30, 2026 17.2B2.2B 12.6% 2.27 1.69 74%
Q1/26Mar 31, 2026 15.9B1.2B 7.6% 1.28 1.68 131%
Q4/25*Dec 31, 2025 19.7B5.6B 28.4% – 1.68 –
Q3/25Sep 30, 2025 16.3B1.7B 10.7% 1.84 1.68 91%
Q2/25Jun 30, 2025 17.0B2.2B 12.9% 2.31 1.68 73%
Q1/25Mar 31, 2025 14.5B1.1B 7.3% 1.12 1.67 149%
Q4/24*Dec 31, 2024 17.6B2.9B 16.6% – 1.67 –
Q3/24Sep 30, 2024 15.0B−330.0M −2.2% −0.36 1.67 –
Q2/24Jun 30, 2024 15.8B1.8B 11.6% 1.96 1.67 85%
Q1/24Mar 31, 2024 14.5B1.6B 11.1% 1.72 1.66 97%
Q4/23*Dec 31, 2023 17.4B3.3B 18.9% – 1.66 –

* Q4 derived: fiscal year minus the 9-month value (EPS cannot be derived this way); may be distorted by restatements.

How we calculate: values as first reported to the SEC (later corrections are left out), a fixed order of reporting tags per figure, partial sums are never added up. Growth per year over 5 years (otherwise 3 years). Quarters are labeled by the calendar quarter in which they end.

Insiders

All insider transactions
Insider purchases and sales on the market over 3, 6 and 12 months
PeriodPurchasesSalesNet
3 months $00 people $5.8M1 person −$5.8M
6 months $00 people $5.8M1 person −$5.8M
12 months $417.2K3 people $5.8M1 person −$5.3M

Latest transactions

  • Aug 26, 2026 Thomas Robert David Officer Open-market sale 25,000 shares · $5.8M · SEC
  • Feb 25, 2026 Miebach Michael Director Open-market purchase 434 shares · $101.3K · SEC
  • Feb 25, 2026 Howard Michelle J Director Open-market purchase 50 shares · $11.9K · SEC
  • Jan 30, 2026 Farr David N Director Open-market purchase 1,000 shares · $304.0K · SEC

Source: mandatory filings with the SEC (Form 4), open-market purchases and sales only. General information, not investment advice.

Trend score +15

Price vs. EMA 50+15
Price vs. EMA 200+15
EMA 50 vs. EMA 200-20
ADX (trend strength)+0
Highs and lows-10
Relative strength+15

Volatility and trend strength

ADX 14 (trend strength)23.8
Rel. strength 60 d+9.5%

ATR and moving averages as price values only when logged in.

More stocks from Technology

All symbols in this sector

News

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Set alert: IBM

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