GLD SPDR Gold Shares

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· How we analyze

About the fund

SPDR Gold Shares is an exchange-traded fund that tracks the price of gold. The fund holds physical gold bars in vaults. This gives investors access to gold without storing bars themselves. As of Oct 13, 2026

Where is the price relative to the buy zone?

No buy zone

There is currently no buy zone for this symbol under our Elliott rule. One only forms when the price pulls back after a strong rise.

An observation, not investment advice

Rule (daily candles) No current buy zone · as of Oct 14, 2026

Watcher Full history: every change of the buy zone with its date.

Automated analysis (rule-based)

How we analyze

Timeframe 1 day · As of Oct 23, 2026

Elliott wave analysis SPDR Gold Shares (daily candles): wave 2 retracing, buy zone 61.8–78.6% of the advance, invalid below the start of wave 1. Elliott count: Zigzag (A-B-C), Corrective pattern (downward), C in progress (3 of 3 guidelines) (smaller wave degree). Candlestick chart GLD with 96 daily candles from Jun 9, 2026 to Oct 23, 2026. Price has fallen below the buy zone. Rule setup: start on Jun 24, 2026, high on Aug 24, 2026, pullback low on Oct 23, 2026. All values as the distance from the top of the buy zone. Buy zone (61.8 to 78.6%) 0 to −2.9% (targets and stop for this zone from Watcher), invalid on a close below the start (−6.5%). Elliott count: Zigzag (A-B-C), Corrective pattern (downward), C in progress (3 of 3 guidelines) (B = 52% of A; C = 149% of A), invalid on a close above +6.4%. smaller wave degree: Smaller wave degree: more sensitive turning-point detection, because no count fits at the usual degree – it describes shorter swings. Provisional – check the count yourself on the chart. No visible sub-waves in: A, B. Alternative: Combination (W-X-Y), Corrective pattern (downward), Y in progress (3 of 3 guidelines). Automated analysis (rule-based), not investment advice. GLD · daily candles · Automated analysis (rule-based) Price has fallen below the buy zone Smaller wave degree: more sensitive turning points – check the count yourself on the chart Start High Pullback low 61.80% (0%) 78.60% (−2.9%) invalid (−6.5%) invalid on a close above +6.4% 0 1 2 0 A B C in progress (i) (ii) (iii) (iv) (v) −5% −3% 0% +3% +5% +8% +10% Jul Aug Sep Oct As of Oct 23, 2026 · not investment advice Axis and values in brackets: distance from the top of the buy zone in %
  • daily candles (green = close above open, red = below)
  • Rule setup (blue line start → high → pullback low)
  • Buy zone (0.618–0.786) 0 to −2.9%
  • Setup void on a close below the start (level 1 = 100%)
  • Watcher Target 1, Target 2 and stop for this zone from Watcher
  • Elliott count (thin gold line, waves in circles; dashed circle = still in progress; small = subwaves; red dashed = invalidation level)
  • Dashed throughout with a label: fallback count (smaller wave degree) – provisional, check it yourself on the chart

Elliott count: Zigzag (A-B-C), Corrective pattern (downward), C in progress (3 of 3 guidelines) · B = 52% of A; C = 149% of A

smaller wave degree Smaller wave degree: more sensitive turning-point detection, because no count fits at the usual degree – it describes shorter swings. Provisional – check the count yourself on the chart.

Position: Position unclear (the correction reaches into wave 1 territory, so not wave 4)

Alternative (not drawn): Combination (W-X-Y), Corrective pattern (downward), Y in progress (3 of 3 guidelines)

Before (drawn faintly): Impulse (W3 extended), Wave 3 complete

Note: Structure open: leg A, B cannot be broken down into sub-waves on this timeframe – provisional, check the count yourself on the chart.

Elliott count calculated automatically by fixed Elliott rules, not investment advice – display only, our buy zones do not use it. Provisional: The count can change with new candles.

How to draw it yourself
  1. Load the TradingView chart and choose the timeframe 1 day (daily candles).
  2. In the drawing toolbar on the left, choose the Fib Retracement tool (group with the horizontal lines).
  3. Click on the start of wave 1 (low of Jun 24, 2026) and drag to the high of Aug 24, 2026.
  4. The buy zone lies between the lines 0.618 and 0.786 (0 to −2.9%); line 1 is the start of wave 1 – if the price closes below it, the setup is void. The rule is only triggered by a candle close above the last swing high .
  5. Watcher Stop, Target 1 and Target 2 of this zone – and how to draw them – are available from Watcher.

On phones the drawing toolbar is hidden – drawing works better on a desktop.

Scenarios

Timeframe 1 day · As of Oct 23, 2026 · from the Elliott count in the analysis chart

Weighting Main scenario and alternative: level (3 of 3 guidelines each, strong) – the simpler or clearer pattern counts as the main scenario.

Weighting by guidelines met – not a probability.

smaller wave degree Smaller wave degree: more sensitive turning-point detection, because no count fits at the usual degree – it describes shorter swings. Provisional – check the count yourself on the chart. No visible sub-waves in: A, B.

Main scenario

tied strong · 3 of 3 guidelines

As long as the daily close stays below the end of B, this applies: sharp countermove downward in three waves (Zigzag A-B-C), C in progress – count points to falling prices.

Invalid if the daily close is above the end of B (+6.4% from the top of the zone)

Alternative

tied strong · 3 of 3 guidelines

If that breaks, the second reading no longer applies either: complex countermove downward (Combination W-X-Y), Y in progress – then there is no valid count for now; the next candles will produce a new one.

Invalid if the daily close is above the end of X (+6.4% from the top of the zone)

Save zone

With a free account: save the buy zone shown for yourself (stop and targets from Watcher). It stays visible even if the zone changes later. Log in · Sign up

Trend score -70

Price vs. EMA 50-15
Price vs. EMA 200-15
EMA 50 vs. EMA 200-20
ADX (trend strength)+0
Highs and lows-20
Relative strength+0

Volatility and trend strength

ADX 14 (trend strength)19.8
Rel. strength 60 d–

ATR and moving averages as price values only when logged in.

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